I enjoy reading Christopher White at Loop Capital every day. He has a perspective on fixed income markets often not available to equity focused traders.
“According to Goldman , IG bonds offer the smallest extra yield margin ever compared to 3-month bills. The biggest IG ETF . LQD, 30-day SEC yield , according to Blackrock is 5.02% . Why would one want to take credit and duration risk by buying IG Corps when 6-month Bills offer the same yield? “
MY TAKE:
You have to really believe that inflation is back to a normal 2-3% and the economy is going to get really bad for this to make sense. And if it does make sense this would be a disaster for equities which are currently near historic high valuations. High valuations like this usually happen in the middle of a bad economic cycle when earnings are about to take off.
Rising interest rates, worries about a recession while equites are at high valuations and rising reminds me of the set up before the 1987 crash. That crash recovered fairly quickly and was a great time to buy. But to buy in a moment like that you need cash. And today cash is yielding 5.0% in the right places. It pays to wait and miss out on exciting rallies. Now more than ever cash is set up to be an offensive weapon in the portfolio.
Why Is Good Friday A Stock Market Holiday
U.S. stock exchanges have had a strange relationship with Good Friday. After being closed on Good Friday off and on, 1907 was the final year in which the exchange was open on Good Friday. However, Good Friday is not a national holiday. The Fed wire and thus, the bond markets are open. While most European countries close for several days around Easter, the United States has no such holiday.
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